What to expect from the NATO summit in Vilnius? Ukraine is unlikely to be invited to NATO right now - Germany and Germany against this

At the same time, Kyiv promises "long -term security guarantees"

Ukraine, most likely, will not receive an official invitation to join NATO at the alliance summit, which will be held on July 11-12 in Vilnius. In mid -June, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said that all allies agree that Ukraine will become a member of the alliance, but at the summit in Vilnius, not an invitation of Ukraine will be discussed, but how to “bring” the country to the alliance.

According to the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine Dmitry Kuleba, the NATO countries agreed to consider Ukraine’s application for joining the Alliance in an accelerated manner and without the approval of the “Plan of Action on Membership” . “I welcome this long -awaited decision that reduces our path to NATO. It is also the best moment to offer clarity regarding the invitation of Ukraine to become a member, ”Kuleba wrote on his twitter the day before the start of the summit.

The German publication Bild, citing the source, claims that during the summit, Vladimir Zelensky wanted to officially appeal to Ukraine to NATO, but the United States and Germany opposed this. According to Financial Times, Berlin and Washington are now under strong pressure from the alliance of the alliance due to insufficient support on Ukraine joining NATO. Sources of the publication say that some members of the alliance "were taken by surprise by the conservative position of the United States and Germany."

US President Joe Biden in an interview with CNN said that Ukraine is not ready to enter the Alliance and begin to consider this issue only after the end of the war. He added that now the NATO participating countries have no unanimity regarding Ukraine’s adoption in the Alliance. At the same time, Biden noted that the United States can provide Ukraine with security guarantees similar to the fact that they provide Israel .

Bilds also had a government document at the disposal that states that France, Great Britain and Poland advocate the early invitation of Ukraine to NATO, but Berlin and Washington are not supported by this plan. Both the United States and Germany adhere to compliance with the “Plan of Action on Membership” adopted in 2008, which includes, among other things, political and economic reforms in the Candidate country. The document states that the Government of Olaf Sholtsa opens against any wording with the mention of the invitation of Ukraine or “the rightful place of Ukraine to NATO”. The US position admits the abandonment of the long -term “action plan” for Ukraine, subject to further reforms. One of the American diplomats told Bild that Washington wanted to offer Ukraine a “model of Finland”, which means joining the Alliance within a few months after the end of the war.

At the Summit in the Vilnius of the NATO country, individual obligations in Ukraine will take over. According to Politico, the alliance members will release a declaration that will talk about providing Ukraine guarantees. Now they are conducting “feverish” negotiations about this, saying sources of the publication. It is assumed that several countries individually will provide Ukraine with constant military assistance in the long term. This should become a “restraining factor for any future aggression [against Ukraine],” says one of the high -ranking diplomats.

Individual obligations will take on, in particular, the United States, Germany, France and the UK, the sources of Financial Times say . They imply further military supplies, the exchange of intelligence and assistance in the reform of defense policy.

In addition, the status of the Ukraine-NATO commission , created back in 1997, will be increased to the level of the Council, writes FT. This is confirmed by the official agenda of the second day of the summit, in which the first meeting of the Council is announced. As the Euraactiv publication wrote , the Council of Ukraine will be a full -fledged participant in negotiations, and not the invited party for discussions as it is now.

At the same time, it remains not clear to the end whether Vladimir Zelensky will come to the Vilnius summit in Vilnius. At the end of June, the deputy head of the Office of the President of Ukraine Igor Zhovkva said that Zelensky would not participate in the summit if the alliance members do not answer the application of Ukraine on the entry into NATO. The Alliance Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg announced that the Ukrainian leader would come to the summit and take part in the first meeting of the new Ukrainian Council. However, two days later, the Deputy Prime Minister of Ukraine on Euro-Atlantic integration Olga Stefanishin said that the final decision on Zelensky’s visit was not yet made, since in Kiev they do not fully understand “decisions that will be physically put on the table”. On July 10, Stoltenberg again stated that Zelensky "would join us at the inaugural meeting of the Ukrainian-NATO Council."

The possible accession of Ukraine to NATO will have “very negative” consequences for the security system in Europe and “will be absolutely dangerous, threat” for Russia, on the eve of the summit, the press secretary of the Russian President Dmitry Peskov said . “What will require a sufficiently firm and understandable reaction from us,” said the Kremlin representative at a briefing for the press, without specifying what reaction we were talking about.