
This is not even a question, it is specially launched by a spoiler, like the rest, or just no one paid attention to a little -known politician. In principle, this may be a system error, or it can be done specifically to probe opposition moods in society. For what? Then, that, twisting the nuts, the current government lost ways to find out the real mood from the people. And the moods are uneven-either a military rebellion, then a Jewish pogrom, then a Bashkir protest, then mobilized wives. But there is no end war, and the second wave of mobilization is needed. So far, everything is pointed, but no one will say, it is randomness or the boiler is about to boil.
But all this does not matter.
The most interesting thing began to unfold when Nadezhdin said that he was going on as a fundamental opponent of Putin’s policy, an opponent of war and isolation of Russia. Promises to release all political prisoners, cancel repressive laws and return the mobilized home. And at the same time he began to seriously collect signatures (which, in my opinion, no one was doing at all).
And then this turned into an all -Russian referendum with the question "Do you agree with what is happening in Russia?" And the collection of signatures was his first stage. The procedure, conceived as an insurmountable obstacle to independent candidates, turned against the creators of this system, turning into a demonstration. In fact, more than 200 thousand signatures have been collected in a week. Twice as much as necessary. And collected for real. Everyone saw the queues of those who wanted and observed the work of the collection headquarters. The first stage of the referendum took place.
Now let's see what will happen next. For the current government, it is most logical (more likely) to declare signatures invalid and prevent the Nadezhdin for the elections. This, on the one hand, will solve the problem, but, on the other, will create new ones. Firstly, the lie will be obvious. The fact that the signatures were left by real people is a fact. However, when did it stop them? Secondly, it turns out that the system was frightened by a petty politician, which in 2018 in the elections of the Governor of the Moscow Region took the last place, gaining 4.36% of the vote. And in 2023 he could not even advance to these elections. And here it is clear that not a Nadezhdin, but of the ideas, the symbol of which he became.
But they can continue to play this game further and register Nadezhdin as a candidate. Then he will have the opportunity for agitation and propaganda of his position. And here everything can become very interesting. Because admission is, of course, not that a full -fledged opportunity to win in the elections. The probability is not so high (well, you can always adjust). But this is a continuation of the referendum. And here any result will be important.
10%? Well, not so little.
20%? This is a fifth.
40%? So this is almost half.
In any case, this is now the only legal way to fight what is happening.