Translated material
The largest crypto platform began accepting bets on a nuclear explosion
The decentralized platform Polymarket, which allows users to bet on the outcome of world events and which predicted Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election, has begun accepting bets on a nuclear explosion.
“Will nuclear weapons be used in 2024?” - this is what the forecast sounds like. At the time of writing, platform users estimated the chances of such an outcome to be 10%. At the same time, the total volume of bets according to this forecast reached almost two million dollars.
A "yes" bet will win if a nuclear weapon is detonated anywhere in the world between July 1 and December 31, 2024, up to 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time (inclusive).
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The terms of this forecast also say that the “yes” bet will win if any nuclear explosion occurs, including an accidental one. An explosion that occurred during nuclear testing is also considered. At the same time, the launch of a nuclear warhead without detonation, the simulation of a nuclear strike, and the explosion of a “dirty bomb” will not be counted.
Previously, Polymarket users predicted Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election. Several more polls were also opened on the site in conjunction with the American elections.
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The Polymarket platform allows its users to place bets in cryptocurrency on events that occur in the real world, buying “yes” or “no” answers. The volume of bets according to some forecasts or voting reaches several million dollars.
This spring, the platform raised $45 million in an investment round led by billionaire Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund. Then the co-founder of the Ethereum cryptocurrency Vitalik Buterin and the venture capital company Dragonfly Capital participated in the financing. The total amount of investment that the project attracted was $75 million.
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