The head of the Ministry of Economic Development, Maxim Reshetnikov, explained the strengthening of the ruble in insufficient demand in the economy against the backdrop of tough measures of the Central Bank. He made his statement in the fields of PMEF, reports RBC.
“We are considering a strong ruble as a result of a lack of demand in the economy against the background, primarily a rigid monetary policy. Therefore, its further dynamics, including depends on the decisions of the Central Bank, ”said Reshetnikov.
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According to the April forecast of the department headed by the Reshetnikov, this year the average annual value of the course at 94.3 rubles was expected. However, in fact, during June, the price per dollar did not exceed 80 rubles. In general, since the beginning of 2025, the American currency has fallen in price in rubles by 43%.
The situation with inflation, according to Reshetnikov, has also exceeded forecasts. Her slowing is at a faster pace than expected. The forecast indicated an indicator of 7.6% if the desired 4%.
“The numbers of the last three months and especially the last three weeks show that the slowdown in inflation is stable. You have seen a certain adjustment of menstruation for May, when the monthly figure dispersed a little with weekly, but in general even 0.43%in terms of a year - we get 5%, which is not very different from 4%, that is, still near the target. And the first weeks of June in general in the region of 2% are shown for a year, ”Interfax quoted the head of the Ministry of Economic Development.
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Earlier, experts also called other reasons for the strengthening of the ruble. Among them are a decrease in geopolitical tension, a reduction in imports against the background of a high key rate, as well as the mandatory sale of foreign exchange earnings by exporters for rubles.
In early June, the Central Bank lowered the key rate for the first time from 21% to 20%. A decrease in the rate occurred for the first time since September 2022.
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