"Invitation to shell cities"

The United States has suspended the supply of missiles to Ukraine. Is it possible to replace them and how will this affect the combat effectiveness of the Armed Forces of Ukraine?

According to the Western media, the US Secretary of Defense, Pete Hegset, ordered to freeze the supply of some types of ammunition to Ukraine, including dozens of missiles for Patriot air defense systems. How will this decision affect the fighting capacity of the Ukrainian army and which of the suspended parties of weapons can be replaced from other sources? New Europe was discussed by the US Demarch with experts.

Irreplaceable ammunition

Several sources of NBC News in the US Congress and the Pentagon said that, in addition to the Patriot air defense system, several thousand 155-mm artillery shells, more than 100 Hellfire missiles, more than 250 shells for the GMLRS deposit, several dozen Earth-Air missiles will also not be sent to Ukraine. Stinger, Air Air - Air missiles, as well as grenade launchers.

According to the Politico publication, the decision to suspend supplies was made by the head of the Pentagon Political Administration, Elbridge Kolbi due to fears that the reserves of these weapons in the United States themselves were significantly reduced. The cessation of supplies refers to weapons, the decision to transfer which was made by the administration of Joe Biden.

“I do not want to go into conspiracyology, but the most essential ammunitions have been selected in the list of suspended,” Military researcher Kirill Mikhailov says Novo-Europe. -First of all, we are talking about, of course, about GMLRS reactive shells, which give the possibility of high-precision targets at a depth of up to 60 kilometers, and the Patriot PAC-3 anti-aircraft missiles, which are the only in the Ukrainian arsenal are able to knock down ballistic missiles. If the same artillery ammunition can be partially replaced by European supplies, their own production and drones, then by these capabilities it is inevitable. However, as for the air defense, the most of the Russian air attack means are drones that can be quite effectively shot down with the help of European air defense systems, aviation and piercers-piercers, in the production of which Ukraine is now being invested.

The most important Patriot

“As far as I understand, we are talking about the last part of supplies approved even under the last American administration,” a military expert, a colonel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in reserve, tells Roman Svitan. - And Trump did not dispose of the cancellation, but about the suspension of this supply before the inventory of the residues of weapons available in the United States. The Armed Forces of the Armed Forces of this party of American weapons, of course, were very counted. It is mainly about defensive types of weapons. This will lead to a deterioration in the capabilities of Ukrainian defense and a decrease in air defense capabilities. In addition to Patriot complexes, Trump froze AIM missiles, which are used to destroy aircraft, cruise missiles and drones.

According to Roman Svitan, the suspension of the anti -ray transmission for Patriot complexes is almost an invitation to the Russian army to beat ballistic missiles in large cities that now will not have protection. After all, only the Patriot air defense system can bring down Russian Iskander and Dagger missiles, as well as Korean KN-23.

“Among the entire nomenclature of suspended supplies, indispensable types of weapons are anti -kimits to Patriot complexes,” said Military Analyst, former SBU employee Ivan Stupak. - So far, European air defense systems are able to shoot down only cruise missiles. Only the Patriot PAC-3, covering the peaceful Ukrainian cities, can successfully work on ballistic missiles.

Ivan Stupak has not heard about the use in the battles in Ukraine of STINGER. Military analyst believes that this complex has not been supplied for the Armed Forces for some time.

Roman Svitan claims that the European states still have a background of anti -throat to Patriot complexes and Ukraine hopes for their transfer. Also, the EU countries can provide the Armed Forces of Ukraine and artillery shells.

Ivan Stupak notes that in recent years, Ukraine has more and more replaces artillery shells and anti -tank grenade launchers with drones. Drinking and fly further than other ammunition, and the accuracy of their hit is much higher. Realizing the possibility of interruptions with the provision of assistance from the United States, Ukraine began the active production of its shells, as well as the purchase of Soviet caliber shells, which are still widely used by the Armed Forces of Ukraine. That is, an interruption of the supply of ammunition to everything except Patriot systems, painful, but not critical.

A deal with Putin

“Of course, the cessation of these deliveries will directly lead to the death of Ukrainian military and civilians, but there is no need to expect the immediate collapse of the front or the destruction of the rear Ukrainian cities,” said Kirill Mikhailov.

“I think we witnessed the transaction: Donald Trump made a promise from Putin not to go into the conflict of the United States and Israel with Iran, and the United States pledged to suspend the supply of weapons to Ukraine,” says Roman Svitan. - Ukraine is exchanged for solving the Middle Eastern problem. Trump’s second task may be an attempt to press again on Kyiv, forcing Zelensky to surrender. The fact that delivery is not canceled, but only suspended, can mean that it has become the subject of bargaining in a large game. Trump leaves no hope to change the world to significant Ukrainian territories.