Will the third be?

Will Ilon make a mask "Party of America"

The media jokes that it will be easier to build and launch a new missile into space than to establish a “third batch”, which most American voters speak of. Which in practice still choose one of two: either an elephant-republican or a donkey-democrat.

On July 4, on Independence Day, Donald Trump signed a “big beautiful bill” on state expenses, which has become law from this second, and the richest man in the world Elon Musk announced the creation of the “Party of America”.

“Independence Day is the time to ask yourself if you want independence from a two -party (some would say - one -party) system!” - wrote a billionaire on the social network X. "Is it worth it to create a party of America?" More than a million Americans participated in the express-survey of the mask: 65% said “yes”, 35%-“no”. "In the ratio of 2 to 1, you wanted a new party, and you will have it!" - Mask wrote the next day. It will “return freedom” and will represent the interests of 80 percent of the Americans - those who are in the middle.

The 54-year-old native of South Africa, the owner of Tesla, SpaceX, social networks X (former Twitter), until recently called himself the “first friend of Trump” (he invested from $ 250 to 300 million) and headed Doge, the government effectiveness. In early June, these two quarreled, so much so that it is discussed all over the world.

Musk sharply opposed the adoption of Trump's “large beautiful bill”, which, according to the budget administration of the congress, will increase the deficiency by 3 trillion dollars.

“A huge, outrageous, pork, binding bill on expenses is a disgusting abomination. A shame for those who voted for him: you know that they were wrong, ”Musk wrote.

The “pork” in American political jargon is called budget money, which lawmakers “attach” to the main bill, directing them to the needs of their electoral districts, thereby crushing voters and devastating the state treasury. The recent Washington Post and IPSOS survey, dedicated to the new legislation, showed that 63% of Americans consider it unacceptable to add another 3 trillion dollars to public debt, which is already 36 trillion dollars.

Trump protested the mask exclusively “skin interest”. The President claims that his former adviser was “upset” by the “loss of electric car mandate”, that is, a consumer tax loan of $ 7,500 for those Americans who bought or rented electric cars like Tesla. This measure was canceled by the administration.

“I believe that creating a third party is ridiculous,” Trump said to reporters. “Democrats went astray, but the system has always been bipartisan, and, in my opinion, the creation of the third batch only adds confusion.” “The third parties never worked, so let (Musk) have fun, but I consider it ridiculous,” the president added. According to Trump, Musk "completely moved off the rails." Earlier, the president stated that he would consider the possibility of expulsion from the country.

According to a survey conducted by Echelon Insights, the inclusion of new party candidates in the ballot ballot in the intermediate elections to Congress will reduce the support of the Republicans next year. The survey was conducted on July 10-14 among 1084 registered voters.

The survey showed that without a candidate from the party supported by the magician, the Republicans ahead of the Democrats by one point - 48% versus 47%. But if you add the Party of America, then the democrats are already leading: 45%versus 41%, and the candidate from the third party receives 5%.

Now the Republican Party has a majority in both wards: 220 versus 212 - in the House of Representatives and 53 versus 47 - in the Senate, which helps Trump to promote his program. And most conservatives in the Supreme Court “cement” the president’s policy when his decrees are disputed in lower courts. Although the democrats will not be easy to get the majority in the Senate in the 2026 elections, the struggle for the majority in the House of Representatives will be extremely tense. Mask people are capable of, as they say here, "make the difference."

The mask plan is to focus on receiving “total” 2-3 seats in the Senate and 8-10 districts in the House of Representatives. As he wrote on the X network: “This will be enough to become a decisive voice according to controversial laws, guaranteeing that they will serve the true will of the people.” And further: “We are going to break a one -party system, just as Epaminonde dispelled the myth of the invincibility of the Spartans under the Levktra. Extremely concentrated force in an exact place on the battlefield. ”

The billionaire calls the one -party political system that has developed in the United States, because both parties, in his opinion, inevitably lead the country to bankruptcy, encouraging “squinting and bribery”.

It will be almost impossible to register a party in the Federal Election Commission-neither to the intermediate elections, nor to the presidential, in 2028. The mask needs to be able to include the party in the ballots in those states where he wants to participate in the elections. Each of them has its own selection procedure.

For example, in Kentukki, where the struggle for the place of resignation of Senator-Republican Mitch MacConnella in 2026 is gaining momentum, a party candidate must be nominated in the state of a political party, which received a certain percentage of votes in the previous presidential elections. In other states, the very name "American party" may be a problem. For example, in New York, where the state law prohibits political parties to use the word "American".

As Washington Post notes, the Party of America is unlikely to receive a certificate in the near future, since the Federal Electoral Commission, which checks the qualifications of political organizations as political parties, does not have the necessary quorum since one of the members of the commission has resigned, as a result of which only three people remained in the agency. Members of the Federal Election Commission can be appointed only by President Trump. It is still unclear whether Musk submitted any documents for his “party of America”, the representative of the Federal Election Commission refused to comment on whether the agency received any documents from the mask team.

Another way is the creation of a non -party, but the so -called “supercommitatus for political actions”, which will accumulate funds to support “independent” candidates who will actually be put forward by magic. He has more than enough money, despite financial losses associated with violent political activity and a decrease in the value of Tesla shares. Some documents on the registration of the Committee appeared on the website of the Federal Election Commission immediately after the announcement of the mask on the X network; In two of them, the financial director of Tesla Vaibhav Tanghad is indicated by the treasurer and responsible for storage of papers. But, according to the mask, these documents are a fake.

The Gallup Institute has been conducting an annual survey whether America needs the third large batch since 2003. In October last year, 58% of the Americans said that the United States was necessary, since the Republicans and Democrats “very poorly cope” with the representation of their interests. In the first year, the survey showed that the voters are satisfied with the bicameral system.

Over the past 20 years, the indicator of voting for the third batch on average was 56%; In 2023, he reached the maximum - 63%. At the same time, in a Gallup survey, 43% of the Americans said they consider themselves “independent”, democrats or Republicans called themselves 28% of respondents. The number of independent is growing every year, especially among young voters. The problem is that in the elections the majority choose between democrats and the Republicans. The psychological explanation is that voters do not want their voice to “disappear” because they do not believe in the success of the “third force”.

In the history of the United States, the most successful was the progressive, or "elk", party (Bull Moose Party). In 1912, the former Republican President Theodor Roosevelt tore with his protractor and successor William Howard Taft and decided to run for a third (there were no rules of maximum terms). As a result, Roosevelt gained 27% of votes throughout the country - more than TAFT (23%). The struggle of Roosevelt and Taft split the Republicans, and Democrat Woodlo Wilson eventually received the White House, gaining only 42% of the vote.

In 1992, a billionaire of Ross Pero in 1992 gained 19% of votes, but at the same time, due to the characteristics of the election system, did not receive a single vote of members of the board of electors. The relative success of the Perrault allowed him to create a “party of reforms”, but in the end, due to internal disagreements and disputes between the candidates, she quickly wrapped himself.

As the local media suggests, Musk could enlist the support of existing third parties, such as the Libertarian Party or the Green Party. In the last elections, they did not succeed. The centrist group No Labels (without labels) ceased its activities a few months before the national congresses of the Republican and Democratic Parties, not managing to find its candidate before the deadline set by them. A long -standing candidate from the Libertarian Party, Chase Oliver, ran for president and received less than 0.5%. Former New York mayor Mike Bloomberg considered the possibility of nominating a candidate from the third party and eventually came to the conclusion that there was no way to victory. He unsuccessfully ran for the Democratic Party, spending about a billion dollars.

Musk maintained a connection with the former presidential candidate from the Democratic Party Andrew Yang, who is now heading his own “Center Movement”, said ABC News source, familiar with the situation. Musk himself, as at one time, the Governor of California, an extremely popular Arnold Schwarzenegger in America, “upon birth” cannot run for president. And the ratings, according to Economist-Yugov polls, were pumped up with him: in November last year-50%, and now-35%. At the same time, Musk causes a friendly negative in the ranks of the Democratic Party and can hardly count on its political support. According to Rasmussen survey, 71% of the democrats want the richest man of America and the world to be imprisoned for their role in DOGE - mass dismissal and the closure of federal agencies, challenged in courts.

The independent participation of the mask in the elections has so far been limited and unsuccessful. In the struggle for a place in the Supreme Court of Wisconsin, campaigning for his candidate, a billionaire put on a hat in the form of cheese (state symbol) and spent more than $ 25 million, but lost. It is curious that George Soros spoke the main sponsor on the other side. Then a national record was set: over $ 100 million were spent on the elections of one judge!

Republicans see a real threat in the new party. As the recent opponent of Trump noted, Governor of Florida Lazantis, the appearance of candidates Mask may mean that "democrats will win all competitive elections to the Senate and the House of Representatives."

Former Trump adviser Steve Bannon, calling the billionaire a “fool” and “jester”, said that the creation of the third party was a “non -American step towards creating a party of America.”

Mask supporters (including billionaire Mark Kyuban) believe that, setting himself achievable “point” goals, he will be able to create not only the “Republican Spoiler” party, but also the “third force” that a society has long been waiting for the “political football” of the two parties. In this regard, the media recall the words of one of the “founding fathers” of America, John Adams: “There is nothing that I am so afraid of as dividing the republic into two great parties, each of which will be controlled by its leader and conduct consistent actions against each other,” the second president said. “In my modest opinion, this should be feared as the greatest political evil provided for by our constitution.”

The mask is expected to be announced by the political program and the names of the members of his team. Maybe they are waiting in vain. He has been silent for a while, and it already seems that the “party of America” is bluff and personal revenge Trump.

In the end, the mask has a cosmos, Tesla’s electric car and a huge impact on voters through the X network. He has something to do without party construction. Perhaps one threat is enough for these two - Trump and Musk - to find a compromise again.