Volatility indicators for the US currency have decreased, reaching the levels seen in the fall of 2024, when Donald Trump's predecessor, Joe Biden, was president. The Financial Times newspaper writes about this.
According to analysts and traders interviewed by the publication, currency markets have stopped reacting so sharply to the “Trump shock,” which, after his return to power in the United States, has more than once led to jumps in the dollar exchange rate.
Thus, the CME Group company told the newspaper that expectations for fluctuations in the dollar against the euro and the yen have dropped to the lowest level in more than a year. At the same time, the American currency index, which reflects its exchange rate to a basket of world currencies, regained some of the lost positions and approached the levels of last fall.
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Some of the publication's interlocutors explained the observed stabilization of the foreign exchange market with the agreements that the White House concluded with its major trading partners, such as China and the EU, as well as with the completion of the cycle of rate cuts by the largest central banks.
According to ING's head of market research, Chris Turner, "the world is learning to live with Trump." “Investors have learned to take news headlines with a grain of salt,” he explained.
The publication recalls that especially sharp fluctuations in the exchange rate of the American currency occurred last spring against the backdrop of Trump’s statements about the introduction of import duties and market participants’ concerns about the independence of the US Federal Reserve System.
However, as the newspaper notes, in the summer, US stock indices began to strengthen, and after them, the national currency exchange rate also showed an increase. At the same time, investors note the return of “traditional factors”.
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The day before, Trump said that opponents of his policy of introducing import duties are fools, and the United States, thanks to new tariffs, is earning trillions of dollars. This money, he said, will soon be used to pay off the US national debt, which currently stands at $37 trillion.
The American president also promised to pay two thousand dollars from the profits received after the introduction of duties to all Americans, except those with high incomes. Meanwhile, as experts have repeatedly stated , most of the costs of paying the duties imposed by Trump fall not on foreign suppliers, but on American importers, who factor these costs into retail prices for buyers in the United States.
Earlier, the American media wrote about the US administration's plans to force a number of other countries to abandon their national currencies and replace them with the dollar.
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