The Gulf War suddenly became a very important factor determining the situation in Ukraine. Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz forced the US to lift sanctions on the Russian "shadow fleet", which helped the Kremlin delay the looming financial crisis. In response, Ukraine launched multiple strikes on oil ports. Over the past time, the country has made a qualitative leap in the technology of combat drones, which Russian military experts are already openly calling a disaster. Nikolai Mitrokhin* explains how oil geopolitics, diplomatic scandals and the technological revolution affect the situation on the battlefield.
At the end of March - beginning of April, the political position of Ukraine in the negotiation process due to the war in the Persian Gulf and the successful actions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces against the Russian oil and gas transport infrastructure became significantly more complicated.
When Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, the world experienced an acute shortage of oil and gas. The market urgently needed additional volumes of fuel - and they could have been taken from Russia, among others. Therefore, the United States began step by step to lift sanctions from Russian “shadow fleet” tankers and issue temporary permits to Indian oil refineries to purchase Russian raw materials.
This became a salvation for the Russian budget. Firstly, world oil prices have increased. Secondly, Russian oil grades are now sold at almost no discounts, whereas previously buyers demanded significant concessions. As a result, Russia is receiving tens of billions of extra euros a week, helping it emerge from the severe financial crisis that began at the beginning of the year.
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