Beijing hawks spread wings

The incident with the American aircraft strengthened the position of those who call to tighten the policy towards Washington

Just a month ago, Jiang Zemin's business went well. His impeccably correct adviser in the field of international relations, Ciang Tyceen has just made a successful trip to Washington. It was not easy for him to succeed. Hawks on both sides of the Pacific Ocean did everything possible to prevent Jiang from establishing friendships with the new American president. Nevertheless, Qian managed to agree on the holding of the American-Chinese summit this fall.

But it was a month ago. Today, the carefully organized "friendly" offensive by Jiang is crumpled. “The incident in Hainan will strengthen the position of nationalists in the party and will further strengthen the role of the army,” said Sun Shihua from the Chinese Academy of Public Sciences. Moreover, the Celestial Empire is expected to change power. Most Chinese leaders have to retire soon, and each of them today is trying to push into a new team of their protege. Jiang himself must leave the posts of the head of the party and the chairman of the PRC, respectively in 2002 in 2003. At the X fix CPC, which should take place next year, five of the seven senior leaders of China will resign. Jiang wants to see by his successor to Technocrat Hu Jintao. A supporter of the hard line, the chairman of the All -Chinese Assembly of People's Representatives Lee Pen lobbying his man, chief of state security Lo Ganya.

Fights are also underway for nomination to less significant posts, in particular, the one who will deal with the issues of China's entry into the WTO.

It seems to many ambitious politicians that the best way to attract attention is to maintain a tough line against the United States. The Chinese well remember how in 1999 during the NATO bombing of Yugoslavia the building of the Chinese embassy in Belgrade was destroyed. Indignation about this is still alive. In addition, Beijing officials feel neglected by the new American president, who has already publicly called China a “strategic rival”, and not at all a “strategic partner,” as Clinton said. In this context, Jiang’s attempts to establish friendly relations by Bush were an adventure: he risked appearing to be weak not only to his recitrarges colleagues, but also by nationalist-minded ordinary Chinese, whose feelings, surprisingly, have a significant impact on party bonz.

The army most likely uses the current crisis - just like the subsequent struggle for power - to declare its requirements. Among the officers, dissatisfaction is growing by the fact that, as China is modernized and the development of a market economy, their social status is reduced. Once the military in China was the most prestigious profession. But everything is changed after the deceased Dan Xiaopin abandoned his famous slogan “Enrich”. Now even an ordinary translator has higher status and salary than an officer. The army’s reputation was also affected by Beijing the struggle against corruption, which affected the highest officers. In addition, the generals are convinced that the US intelligence agencies began their war against China. Beijing officials claim that American spions aircraft began to appear more often above the coastal territory of China. This causes the discontent of the officers, and most of all General Zion Guankaya, who heads the military intelligence service, the very one who observed the forced landing of the American aircraft Er-Ze.

Irritation and chagrin are experienced not only by the military. In China, ura-patriotic speeches do not subside. Among the speakers is Van Xiaodun, an influential writer of the neoconservative direction, a participant in the so -called movement of the new left. “Let Bush and commander in chief of the US armed forces in the Pacific Ocean close their stupid mouths and open them again only to apologize to us,” he said at the height of the crisis. At the same time, Van is one of the most moderate critics.

Against this background, Jiang's tactics look like a preemptive blow: take a sharp tone yourself and thereby prevent the hawks of the hawks of intervene. At the same time, Jiang has long -term goals that have not changed with the coming to power of Bush: counteracting the sale of American weapons Taiwan, joining the WTO and the struggle for the right to accept the Olympic Games in 2008. Jiang did not want to push the West at all or provoke tension. Therefore, he and other moderate Chinese politicians tried to carefully muffle public indignation. A serious crisis is unprofitable to Jiang and his protege Hu Jintao. In any case, Jiang intends to preserve the post of head of the Almighty Party Central Military Council in order to facilitate HU the first steps in power - this is how his own predecessor Dan Xiaopin did. He needs the absolute authority of Dan. However, as one Western diplomat said, "he is just not enough for him." The consequences of the Hainan crisis will soon be shown how its authority is actually great. Melinda Liu Liu, with the participation of Malon Meyer, Taibay, as well as Kevin Platt and Kalum McLeod, Beijing is printed with abbreviations before ironicing over the “purely stylistic disagreements” of Beijing, we should remember how in Soviet times we recognized the mean official reports of the international life of party Bonz is the abyss that separates the meeting, which has passed "in a warm, friendly atmosphere" from the one that has passed only "in a business, working environment." The conclusion suggests itself: scandals fraught with global conflict, the form is sometimes content.

Therefore, it is not worth a hurry with the conclusion that the American-Chinese scandal was regulated by philologists, offering Shie to Beijing the Chinese version of the phrase “deep regrets” that arranged it. Cart Blanche to the "linguistic compromise" was given to them by those politicians on both sides of the Pacific Ocean, for which the escalation of the conflict of the very beginning was undesirable. Well, after the “main” issue of linguistics managed to resolve, the rest was, as they say, a matter of technology.

I had to choose between the combinations of the hieroglyphs “Tao Cian” and “Bao Cian” - both contain the hieroglyph “Qian”, which means “mental anxiety, shame, regret”. At the same time, “Tao Qian” (“express anxiety, a feeling of shame”) is translated as an apology, and “Bao Qian” (“experience anxiety, a sense of shame”) translate as regret. As they say, feel the difference. In Beijing, they felt her: “Bao Qian” was considered clearly insufficient here, but Washington did not want to make “Tao Cian”. As a result, Chinese and American politicians came together on the intermediate version of the translation: “Ji Qian” - “demonstrate, express anxiety, shame, regret”.

"Hawks" - both in Beijing and Washington - argue about the terms to this day.