The fork begins immediately after the end of hostilities

It is smeared unevenly, and they try not to notice it Oleg Buklemishev Speaking today about the “future after,” we see a clear fork in the road. This fork is at the point where hostilities end. Other branches start from it. They are connected with the attitude towards the world around us, with the division of people into enemies and non-enemies. The only good thing about the current situation is that it provides complete certainty: rigid, fixed.

Economist Oleg Buklemishev on how lockdowns, VAT and personnel shortages are changing the country The Internet turns off. The business is closing. Cars are becoming more expensive. People are leaving. Economist Oleg Buklemishev talks about why the Russian economy is coping with the load worse and worse, how military spending is changing the country and why the “digital paradise” is over.

In Russia, they adopted a law on credit holidays for mobilized, as well as for war participants in Ukraine and their families. After the start of the “partial mobilization”, it turned out that in many families they are afraid of the call of men precisely because of loans. Close mobilized complained that they could not do their own to the banks on their own, and wanted to get a delay on them. How many Petersburgers now owe banks and how many loans did they manage to take in 2022?

Three years after the leakage of the famous “List of Belousov” , which made a splash in the markets, the bill “On Amendments to Part two of the Tax Code” is completely ready for implementation , which prescribes a mechanism for increasing the tax load on metallurgy enterprises and some other export production. This is an important event in economic policy, the meaning of which goes beyond the scope of point fiscal adjustment.

How the budget will “get off the oil needle” due to Russians' money Photo: RIA Novosti Oil quotes again stepped over the mark of $ 60 per barrel. The optimism of economic commentators immediately increased - there were even hopes that the nightmare in every sense 2020 remained far behind and that the budget will finally be filled again with full -fledged oilollars. However, in a long -term plan, this optimism is difficult to divide: too much indicates that this joy is not for long.

The current generation is incredibly “lucky”: in his century, two enormous shocks had already been in its scale. First, the global crisis of 2007-2009, during which financial systems of developed countries were on the verge of collapse. The economic consequences were not slow to affect - so much so that the epithet “great recession” gradually entered in the West with a clear reference to the depression of the last century did not look exaggerated at all.

What is the real meaning of the rejection of the plane of personal income tax Sale of flowers on the street in Moscow. Photo: Alexander Shcherbak / TASS The flat scale of the 13%income tax, which was introduced in Russia in 2001 in order to simplify the fiscal system and legalize income, turned out to be an extremely successful experiment simultaneously with the substantial and PR points of view.

Mikhail Mishustin. Photo: kremlin.ru It is already considered universally considered that in 2020 the world economy encountered an unprecedented crisis - the most difficult double blow was inflicted on the most coronaviral epidemic and its quarantine measures dictated by it. Comprehending the depth of economic and social failure, the vast majority of governments - that left, that right - wide gesture opened the treasury and began to give money to the population and businesses to the left.

Frame from the film "Surrogata". Photo: BVSPR DISNEY Now the church is empty; The school is muffledly locked; Niva is idly overre; The grove is dark empty; And the village, like a dwelling Stucful, standing ... A.S. Pushkin "Feast during the plague" The “black swan” of the Coronavirus Covid-19 found the world markets by surprise, which will now fever more cleaner than those who were ill with a new disease in severe form.

The dynamics of demand for cars indicates a deep stagnation of consumption Daimler factory "Muscovy". Photo: Sergey Bobylev / TASS If you choose a schedule that best describes the current state of the Russian economy, today, unlike zero, this will no longer be a dynamics of oil prices.

From an economic point of view, 2019 was noteworthy in the first place that all kinds of negative scenarios - both external and internal - were not realized. The trade war between China and the USA, despite the voiced noise effects, did not tighten the whole world into the recession, but the declared intentions to introduce “hellish” sanctions against Russia, by and large, have been hung in the air.

The ideological crisis is much worse than economic. At least by the fact that he has long come Vladimir Putin at a session of the St. Petersburg Economic Forum, June 7, 2019. Photo: Maxim Shemetov / Reuters The world economy is alarming today. Thanks to her stable ten -year rise, the previous powerful crisis was almost forgotten.

In the Russian economy, which is a continuous grooved day. If a conditional official of the financial and economic department Leonid Alekseevich suddenly fell into anbiosis several years ago, he could easily join in the discussion, waking up at a meeting in 2018. N - nothing new It’s not that the year did not bring news in the economic sphere at all - they simply did not indicate completely where many wanted.