Thinking Alexander Baunov (Carnegie Politika) Thomas Peter / Reuters / Scanpix / Leta The West survived the alienation of the war, its partial fencing from its own space, and also cooled to the heroic image of President Vladimir Zelensky. The position of Ukraine and a new war in the Middle East complicated. Against this background, the idea returns that Russia will have to deal with Russia, whatever it may be, and with it the future legitimation of the warring dictatorship.

Why does Russia hardly take advantage of this in its interests? Reasoned by Alexander Baunov (Carnegie Politika) Iranian Presidency / Zuma Press Wire / Scanpix / Leta a rally in support of Palestine in Tehran after an explosion in the Al-Ahley hospital in the gas sector.

Thinking Alexander Baunov (Carnegie Politika) The worker dismantles the Wagner PMC banner from the advertising shield in St. Petersburg, April 26, 2023 A few months ago, before the campaign of Wagner's PMC to Moscow, Vladimir Putin did not dare to repress the representatives of the “Party of War”, who, like the President of Russia himself, use “patriotic” rhetoric, but in some ways do not agree with him tactically.

Explains Alexander Baunov (Carnegie Politika) Alexey Nikolsky / AP / Scanpix / Leta The warrant of the International Criminal Court in the Hague (MUS) for the arrest of Russian President Vladimir Putin will not yet have direct legal consequences, but diplomatic ones are already coming. Right now, the Musa decision will make it difficult to bring Russia closer to the non -Western countries that Moscow is trying to replace the collapsed relations with the USA and Europe.