In the opposition

"SR" as the left version

April 18, 2011 Dmitry Oreshkin

I don’t see a great historical meaning in the shuffling of the highest leadership of “Fair Russia” (N. Levich, S. Mironov, and it seems like a place remains for someone). It is clear that all because of the elections. It is clear that because of the tandem. And where the curve will carry further - what, in principle, the difference. The corporate identity of Putin's policy is always to leave a bunch of options for yourself to choose from. And now.

The younger Gudkov joyfully hinted about very positive and fast changes in his party. I mean, someone will come big and kind and it will become good for everyone. The public so understood that this is about Medvedev at the head of the “left leg”. (Suppose a separate head is needed with his left leg.) And S. Mironov himself also added transparency, fogically saying that his party in the elections would not support the candidate from United Russia. That is, Putin? Will not?

Why guess. It is better to list possible options and estimate what they lead to.

Can Medvedev put it at the head of the "SR"? They can, of course. But why? No, the party, of course, is good. And Medvedev? The source also causes doubts. Dmitry Gudkov is a good and not stupid guy. But young. It is clear that without a team of party tops, he would not climb with his enthusiasm. So, he was leaked and inspired. But why is it? Why not any of the bison? Yes, because the bison, if that, is more difficult to give. And so - you never know what you can’t say in your youth ...

Indeed, why Medvedev? If Putin gives “good”, he is elected without any party. If there is no Putin support or at least a friendly neutrality, then from the party, priest is like a goat of milk. A obviously smaller than the weight of the administrative resource and the collective Churov, which will jump onto the electoral scales with the scream “Putin is always right!”.

Somehow it does not really stick together.

On the other hand, why should the president himself go to the leaders of the “updated left”? You never know other interesting personalities. Also an acceptable script. That the "United Russia" is quickly blown away is a natural fact. That the second time it will be difficult to inflate (if at all) - even more so. It may well turn out that the chief of the Kremlin tire fitting decided to pump up a spare cylinder. This is done standardly: the new leader (pierce) and a new topic (fireworks). Plus, of course, money, media, technology, etc.

It is difficult not to recall Dmitry Rogozin. In 2003, they and Marat Helman in two months organized a brilliant wiring of a patriotic voter in the Kerch Strait, not giving the greedy Ukrainians a naughty of Russian land from the Ukrainian braid of Tuzl. The whole world pulled a dam to the spit. “Kamazy” with gravel walked and walked through the November bad weather; Mr. Rogozin himself in the pose of either Napoleon, or Peter, through the telescope, peered into the approaching enemy shore, sternly playing with junk; Alarmed President of Ukraine Mr. Kuchma stared towards him through Binocular. Also with his mass of khaki color. The patriotic electorate with an increasing stress monitored the geopolitical confrontation through the first channel, where Marat Gelman worked as the main political creative.

The construction ended forever when it was a stone's throw to the point, and before the elections to the State Duma for a day. What to tear off if the "day of silence" and the TV mank rest is resting? The patriotic electorate was needed for what was needed, he would firmly knew that he would vote for the Present party and her decisive leader D.O. Rogozin, ready to the last drop of blood, protect the limits of the Fatherland.

The dam was thrown the next day after the elections, the state money was written off, the mass was dissolved, and the Tuzla was, as it was Ukrainian, and remained. It would be nice to put a monument to a patriotic voter in granite there. However, this can also be done on the southern islands of the Kuril ridge, where President Medvedev was casting for the role of Rogozin.

Since those epic times, a lot of water has flowed in the strait. Mr. Rogozin for better preservation (and also not to understand too much about himself) hid in the NATO refrigerator in Brussels-until better times. The party "Rodina" was dissolved without a trace in "Fair Russia". And so, it may well be, it turns out time to get the product again into the light of God? A new generation of non -frighty patriots from the arena has matured; It's time to mobilize the second time.

You can, of course, also try someone completely new-S. Mironov is still nowhere to go, and N. Levichv, maybe an excellent apparatchik-but definitely not stands. So they will agree. And the temptation is obvious. If in the trough of the socialist populism of the “fair Russia” splashing the bucket-different populism of the nationalist, it will turn out exactly what the doctor prescribed. Take 20-25 percent-how nothing to do. Hitler, for example, at the National Socialism drove to the Chancellor himself.

Finally, there is the third option. Also with his fan of possibilities. Suppose, upstairs they considered that Mironov may need a candidate candidate if one of the members of the tandem is on the presidential election. Or as a candidate of laying, if, God forbid, both will go. Then it is better for him to speak with untied hands so that the results do not burden the party. And then it will be like last time.

So that the party shines on its own, and Mr. Mironov on its own.

It is clear that intermediate or transitional options are possible. The details are not important, but the general trend. He is quite obvious. Upstairs were clearly worried about the future "party of thieves and crooks." By the way, for my taste, the name is unsuccessful. Long and tautological. In short, for example, “Putin’s Party” sounds more clearly. Well, okay, be that as it may, the need to work out alternative options is evident.

And this, in turn, means that the end of the “vertical” is approaching. Everything is simple here. Upstairs, maybe they will decide to transfer weight from right to left. And below? What, all members of the Party of Putin, just how it follows in chairs and bought mansions in Spain, should take and all this immediately give up the upstarts from the “SR”?! Well, no, they will compete. You never know what was invented in Moscow! And they live here, in the field. Do not please worry, they use all their administrative resources, all ties in the electoral administration, in the media, in law enforcement agencies, so that no alternative parties are squealing!

The vertical is vertical that it does not allow alternatives. So if from the "SR" they really try to do something serious-this will be a difficult test for the design, which Putin built for 10 years. And if not serious, then what's the difference.

Finally, one more important one. Once they start games with party structures, it means that we are still going to fool our heads. This is good news. In principle, it would be easier and cheaper - approximately like Lukashenko. They do not plan direct retention of power with the help of violence.

Photos of RIA Novosti