
Photo: Alexander Kochetov © IA Red Spring
The sudden, albeit predicted, phenomenon of Ksenia Sobchak in the image of a presidential candidate proves only that the real battle goes between Putin and Navalny, and all other participants in the upcoming presidential elections are only interesting to what they say about the main candidates.
It is not surprising that Sobchak’s campaigns are not addressed to the abstract voters and subscribers of Instagram of the “secular lioness”, namely to Navalny and its supporters - and this is even more self -wiring than generous attention to herself from the state media, which completely ignored the naval naval.
The real battle goes between Putin and Navalny, and all other participants in the upcoming presidential elections are only interesting because they say about the main candidates
From the cascade of statements that Mrs. Sobchak managed to make during the first days of her campaign, it becomes clear what forces move her and where they lead it. For example, what is worth a very controversial idea to say everywhere and everywhere that the purpose of the nomination is not to harm Navalny, but almost to help him, while Navalny himself is still under arrest and cannot say anything. Yuri Duda during the interview asks her about this situation, and Ksenia Anatolyevna gives an amazing answer: some people sang her that in her speech at the Valdai Forum Vladimir Putin's announcement about her nomination, and therefore she decided to hurry. As we now know, Vladimir Putin did not say anything about his nomination - and here Ksenia Anatolyevna would think about who she listens and where these people will lead her with their advice.
It may well be that Ksenia Sobchak herself is not going to fight with Alexei Navalny and even sincerely thinks that she extends his hand to help and offers a magical plan for the salvation of the Fatherland - but her personal views and intentions are now not so important. Around it has already formed the device that works. Moreover, perhaps she herself does not fully represent who and why suddenly began to campaign for her (and against Navalny on her behalf) on social networks and the media - in some cases she will clearly be surprised, and not the fact that surprise will be pleasant.
The members of her headquarters, barely receiving an invitation to the campaign, immediately rushed to talk publicly that "the policy of Navalny no longer exists" and in general "Navalny - an authoritarian leader, a new Putin." Moreover, it is impossible to say that these are some new plots in the work of the same Mr. Belkovsky. It seems that people who have repeatedly played publicly in a strange role - “an oppositionist who hate Navalny more than Putin” are selected to the headquarters of Ksenia Sobchak. So even if Ksenia Sobchak herself does not plan to reduce his campaign to the swearing against Navalny, then her team and those who will be presented will be taken about this. In the end, with another agenda of the day, we are not allowed on the air of federal channels, and there is no reason to believe that this situation will change.
The headquarters of Ksenia Sobchak are just selected by people who repeatedly played publicly in a strange role - “an oppositionist who hated Navalny more than Putin”
All the characters gathered at the Sobchak headquarters are united by one - these are people who worked for good money for rich customers. To suspect that these middle-aged and non-poor ladies and gentlemen suddenly decided to take a chance to everyone and go thorny by a Russian opposition with courts and prisons is somehow not very believed.
In any case, the political positioning of Ksenia Sobchak through conversations about Alexei Navalny does not look like a mental impulse, but a cynical political technology. For even if you suddenly realized yourself as a politician and want to go to the polls with your ideas, then what does Navalny have to do with it? If you want to go to the polls as an understudy of Navalny in case of his lack of permit, then all the more wait until he will be at large and discuss it with him, and not with random people around him.
In the meantime, the classic plot “married me without me” is being played out: a group of persons, headed by the star of show business, Ksenia Sobchak discusses how she will unite the electorate of Navalny not allowed around him, how he will support her and how correctly and logically it will not be called on his part to the boycott of his unacceptable, but simply take and give his resource and vote of his supporters Ksenia Sobchak. Whether the supporters of Navalny themselves are ready for the fact that they suddenly have to vote for Sobchak, for some reason is not even discussed-obviously, in those circles it is not customary to take people seriously: for whom the elder will say, and for that they will vote!
The most characteristic, which is characteristic, is not given the word, and the statements made by himself and his headquarters are ignored. However, this is just logical: if you listen to Alexei Anatolyevich, then the whole intrigue around Ksenia Anatolyevna immediately disappears, and we will see just the next Kremlin spoiler, which is on duty depicting the only possible “opposition candidate”.
Alexei Navalny and his headquarters have long identified two ways to develop the situation that they consider for themselves: to seek participation in the elections of the President of Russia Alexei Navalny or to use all the possibilities for discrediting and active boycott of the presidential election with a previously known winner. The script with the transfer of votes to a person who received a license for a license somewhere in the Kremlin area on federal channels in the role of the “leader of the opposition” is not even considered.
The boycott and active work for his organization is that the Kremlin scares much more than the presence in society of some number of dissatisfied. If the dissatisfied sat quietly at home or cast their votes to Yavlinsky or Sobchak, this would well have arranged the Kremlin strategists. But a consistent and organized attack on the election institution is a problem, and they begin to fight on the farthest approaches.
Active work to discredit elections scares the Kremlin much more than the presence in the company of some number of dissatisfied
Perhaps this is the true mission of Ksenia Sobchak in the election campaign of Vladimir Putin: her hour will break through after refusing to register Alexei Navalny, when she, her headquarters, and all state propagandists will unite in the struggle against the boycott of the elections. The message will be simple, and it is already tested in some regional campaigns: vote for Putin, and if you don’t like it, then for Zyuganov, Zhirinovsky, Yavlinsky, Bogdanov or here for Ksenia Sobchak. The main thing is to vote, because Putin’s elections are a popular business, and as many people as possible should participate in them, then to say to them later: this is the choice of the majority that you must admit.
Therefore, let's say honestly: Ksenia Sobchak is not a “candidate against all”, she is a candidate against a boycott, a candidate for turning the presidential elections into a booth with a pre -known result, a candidate who, according to the results of the vote, will have to say that everything was honest, free and democratic, and the victory of Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin is undoubted and crushing.
Her headquarters will fight over the decision of this, for this she will be given sponsors, and time on federal channels, and the opportunity to collect rallies and processions.
What to do with all this is also clear: listen to the Kremlin propagandist - and do the opposite. If the Kremlin propagandist says that Ksenia Sobchak is the leader of the opposition, then she is absolutely not at all. If the Kremlin propagandist proves that the boycott is very bad, then it is the boycott that is the right solution. Well, in addition to the decision to the last to fight for admission to the elections of Alexei Navalny, of course.
* Political scientist, permanent author NT.