Grudinin against tax authorities, Sobchak - against Poltavchenko

The New Times recognized the political prospects of Putin sparring partner

Meeting of the President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin with ex-candidates for the post of President of the Russian Federation,
Moscow, March 19, 2018 Photo: Kremlin.ru

Before the presidential election, the Kremlin was preoccupied with the problem of finding new persons - they had to draw attention to the election campaign with an obvious outcome. As a result, several such persons were found, and it would be logical if now the participants in the presidential race continued their political career. But the results of the elections are such that for most new and old participants in the campaign, it will most likely be the last, NT interlocutors close to the Kremlin say.

Grudinin stayed with a mustache

Even in the midst of the campaign in an interview with journalist Yuri Dudu, candidate from the Communist Party, chairman of the state farm named after Lenin Pavel Grudinin promised that if he did not gain 15% of the vote, he would shake his mustache. The result of Grudinin is 11.77%. The day after the vote, Dud published a photo of a razor in his Twitter, to which Grudinin said that he was ready to shave live only if Dud says that the elections were honest. In other words, he does not consider the elections to these. In addition, Grudinin is angry with journalists and intends to find out claims for the dissemination of negative information about him.

Grudinin started well in the presidential election, instantly overtaking by the rating of Vladimir Zhirinovsky and entering the second place. And then the authorities found that he has the opportunity not only to get the voices of the traditional electorate of the Communist Party, but also to pull the part of Putin’s electorate, says a source close to the Kremlin. A strong business executive, nostalgia for the USSR and Stalin, a strong hand - these features are attractive precisely for the voter, usually voting for Putin. And then there were suspicions that Grudinin could have occurred to criticize Putin (he did not come). In short, it was immediately decided to start a rigid anticapania against Grudinin, which was supposed to deprive him of serious numbers according to the results of the vote.

Communist-capitalist

The centriezbirk twice discovered foreign accounts from him - at the beginning of the campaign, and then under the curtain, Life News reported that the candidate has a mistress, and the shareholders of his state farm named after In the midst of the campaign, Lenin unexpectedly decided to sue him on old matters.

Shareholders of the former Soviet state farm. Lenin believes that Grudinin illegally privatized the earth. In February 2018, Vidnovsky City Court sent the plaintiffs to the arbitration court, deciding that the shareholders were actually shareholders. Last week, the Moscow Arbitration Court sided with the shareholders, deciding to return to the property of the Lenin state farm CJSC two land plots sold back in 2008 for various shopping centers - in particular, 90 thousand m ² was acquired by IKEA MOS LLC.

As a result - less than 12%. The result deprived Grudinin of serious political prospects, the interlocutors of NT, close to the presidential administration, say one voice. Moreover, according to them, this suits everyone: both the authorities and the leader of the Communist Party of Gennady Zyuganov. The latter not only escaped the losses of the face (polls showed that Zyuganov, if he were a candidate from the Communists, would lose to Zhirinovsky), but also proved that he was not equal in the ranks of the Orthodox Stalinists either: in 2012 Zyuganov had 17%.

It is possible that the campaign against Grudinin will continue. The detected violations of the CEC did not give the move during the campaign - it could not be removed in Grudinin so as not to reduce the turnout. However, now tax authorities can come to him with questions

Back in early February, Zyuganov spoke out quite transparently about the possibility of Grudinin to become his successor: “Grudinin could not become the leader of the party. This is due to the fact that he is non -partisan. ” Among other things, Grudinin is a stranger for the old party elite, which has been sharing Zyuganov’s inheritance for several years.

Apparently, the cross is put on the plans of Grudinin to run for the post of governor of the Moscow Region - NT interlocutors claim that the authorities will not allow this. Moreover, it is possible that the campaign against the ex-candidate for the president will continue, says one of the interlocutors. The detected violations, in particular, regarding the undeclared accounts, the CEC did not give the move during the campaign - it could not be removed in Grudinin so as not to reduce the appearance in the elections. However, now tax authorities can come to him with questions.

Sobchak against Poltavchenko

Ksenia Sobchak scored 1.68% of the vote in the elections - much less than she and her team expected. It was not possible to reach the electorate of Navalny (the chief political strategist of the headquarters Vitaly Shklyarov spoke about such an intention in an interview NT). Nevertheless, the “candidate against all” did not leave such an attempt even on the voting day. On the evening of March 18, she took the air in the Navalny.live studio, where she invited Alexei Navalny to join her new party and unite. Navalny spoke harshly: "I judge by business, and all your affairs are disgusting." In particular, he convicted Sobchak that during the campaign she placed an advertisement for black caviar and Beluga vodka on her Instagram.

The day before the end of the campaign, Sobchak announced that together with Dmitry Gudkov, he was creating a party project on the basis of the Civil Initiative party, which provided Sobchak with her brand in the presidential election. The working name of the old-New Party is a batch of change.

The first large elections for a batch of changes will be held in the fall: Gudkov plans to nominate in the elections of the mayor of Moscow. And if Georgy Poltavchenko will be re -elected by the governor of St. Petersburg, Sobchak intends to compete with his competition

Now Sobchak and Gudkov will be involved in the Party of Sign Person-interlocutors close to the two creators of the Party of Changes, they say that we can talk about the ex-deputies of the State Duma from the same “fair Russia”. Perhaps Sobchak will negotiate with the regional headquarters of Navalny: there are cases when people from Navalny’s headquarters eventually worked for her observers.

According to the plan, the election of the mayor of St. Petersburg will be held in the fall of 2019, unless, of course, Governor Georgy Poltavchenko will resign or will not be re-elected ahead of schedule. In this case, Sobchak intends to compete with him, the interlocutors say in her environment.

In the Kremlin, Sobchak does not cause acute negativity, especially since its result is small in the elections, she will not interfere with her, a source close to the presidential administration assures her. According to him, Sobchak played an important role - she attracted interest in the campaign, but she itself did not earn any rating. And how she will overcome her large anti -rating is not entirely clear.

Zhirinovsky sunset

The Sobchak campaign (which was called Zhirinovsky for liberals on the sidelines) was one of the reasons for the failure of a regular participant in the presidential election - Vladimir Zhirinovsky. His rating fell strongly after the debate, during which the LDPR leader insulted the TV presenter, and she doused him with water. According to the interlocutor, familiar with the closed sociological measurements, in recent weeks before the election, Zhirinovsky “strongly sagged”.

The permanent leader of the LDPR scored 5.65% of the vote in the election - this is its weakest result (close to 5.7% close in 1996). Political technologists believe that Zhirinovsky is tired and clearly surrenders: the age is affected (in April, Vladimir Volfovich will turn 72 years old). As the results of the elections show, the performance loses fans: Zhirinovsky’s behavior, even in wide layers, is perceived as indecent, and not just shocking. People close to the presidential administration admit that it is almost impossible to choose the successor to Zhirinovsky: the party is intended to associate with its permanent leader. However, the Kremlin will clearly preserve some quasi-nationalist project that accumulates the marginal audience, and it is very possible that it will be easier to preserve in some state of the LDPR, and not to grow a new party.

As the results of the elections show, the performance loses fans: Zhirinovsky’s behavior, even in wide layers, is perceived as indecent, and not just shocking

Yavlinsky will return to his homeland

The headquarters of Grigory Yavlinsky , who gained 1.05% of the vote as a result of the worst in his political biography of the campaign, suggested sending him support words through the site.

A political strategist close to the presidential administration says that on focus groups in the regions on which the attitude towards Yavlinsky measured, many participants said that “our ideal candidate is Yavlinsky, only if it were not Yavlinsky” (bearing in mind that the views are correct, but the person broadcasting is no longer interesting).

The political future of Yabloko in question: in recent years, the party is clearly looking for update ways, the projects of Maxim Katz and Dmitry Gudkov in Moscow attracted some young supporters. But they often conflict with the "old guard" - for example, the leader of the Moscow branch Sergei Mitrokhin. And in the last days of the election campaign, the paths of Gudkov and Yavlinsky finally dispersed. Despite the fact that Gudkov regularly worked out the agreement, according to which he was supposed to support Yavlinsky’s presidential elections in exchange for nomination from the party in the State Duma election in 2016 and with the calculation of support from the party in the Moscow Mayor in September 2018, the Yabloko leader defiantly avoided him with Muscovites with Mitrokhin, and the party poster It is written "Yavlinsky in the president, Mitrokhin - in mayor."

Yavlinsky dreams of getting the post of peacekeeper - Russian envoy in negotiations on settlement in the Donbass or special representative in Ukraine

What are the further plans of Yavlinsky himself, different rumors go on this score. The most optimistic for the leader of Yabloko is the role of the Russian Volker (special representative of the US State Department in Ukraine). At the start of the presidential election, in the December interview on Rain, Yavlinsky unexpectedly announced that he had met with Putin, and Ukraine was the main topic of the conversation. “They discussed that the war in Ukraine should be finished,” the leader of Yabloko shared news with reporters. Yavlinsky’s acquaintances explained that he had long dreamed of getting a peacekeeper’s post-Russia's envoy in negotiations in the settlement in the Donbass (now this post is held by the ex-speaker of the State Duma Boris Gryzlov) or the position of special representative of the President of Russia with similar functions. Now there is no such position, but during the Maidan in 2014 this post was held by a longtime associate of Yavlinsky, one of the founders of Yabloko Vladimir Lukin (now a member of the Federation Council). The interlocutors of NT, close to the presidential administration, did not hear the Ukrainian mission for Yavlinsky to be seriously discussed now. Interlocutors note that Yavlinsky does not recognize the legality of the reunification of Russia with the Crimea. In this position, he can hardly defend the interests of Moscow in Ukraine.

According to the interlocutors in Yabloko, Yavlinsky intends to continue his career as a deputy of the Legislative Assembly of St. Petersburg. Here he worked in the fifth convocation, and in 2019 the election of the seventh convocation will be held. He will continue scientific activity: he is a doctor of economic sciences since 2005 - a professor at the Higher School of Economics.