There was a war tomorrow: Putin's ultimatum and ordinary human fear

The arguments for the fact that there will be no war, I know very well and I repeat them regularly - Putin wants to scare, achieve attention, bluff, destabilizes Ukraine and so on. All this is understandable and logical, how obvious the real economic power of Russia, which, fortunately, has long been not Autarchy, but a rather compact and stagnant economy on the outskirts of the world economy. Fortunately-because it seems to be all a guarantee from some big war and even more so from the war with the West, which is much larger and more powerful in every sense-in the sense of resources, and technologically, and even in population. Against the background of Russia, about 450 million people inhabit the EU with 145 million, if anyone is not in the know.

The problem is that there are a certain number of arguments and in favor of the fact that the war will still be. It is generally difficult for a modern person brought up in the spirit of humanism, to perceive any arguments in favor of the possibility of war, but do not forget that those who deny all modern humanism are agitating for the war.

What are these arguments?

First of all, no one is going to fight with the United States and even with Europe. We are talking about the military punishment of the modern Ukrainian state and the physical improving of its final loss for all real and future projects of the revival of the USSR or Great Russia.

In addition, so far it seems quite obvious that nobody will physically fight for Ukraine even on its territory, that is, in the event of the start of the war itself, only Russian and Ukrainian armies will resist, without the participation of the United States or NATO. Thus, the variant of the classic military campaign is considered, when one country is fighting with the other, and neighboring countries are calling for the world, but do not interfere in a fight.

With such introductory, the war cannot seem to its supporters with something especially terrible: military operations begin (both sides, of course, blame each other in the opening of fire), they go in Ukraine and boil down to suppress the Russian army’s resistance and the rapid access to some lines, which leads to the collapse of Ukrainian statehood and its transfer already under the new conditions and according to the Kremlin. rules.

Regarding the combat effectiveness of the Ukrainian army, no one in the Kremlin is particularly worried and, most likely, fairly: a strong army needs a lot of money, high morale and authoritative command. We must be a very large patriot of Ukraine to believe that in 2022 the Ukrainian army will be able to successfully defend, and even more so to advance in a real war.

Regarding the notorious sanctions of the West in the Kremlin, they can also hope for the best: if it comes to the war, then the first question will be the termination of hostilities, and for the sake of this country of the West, they may make concessions, saying: “Stop shooting, and then we will not get hut with sanctions!” Do not discount irrational motifs: they say, well, we will suffer about ten years under sanctions, but we will revive the grandeur of the Fatherland! Again, all those who design this do not plan to suffer and suffer in any way-they will personally be fine with them, and even in the most extreme case, comfortable bunkers with large reserves await them with large reserves of everything that is needed for a long and happy life after a nuclear war.

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