There will be no civil war in the States, talk about Texas from the United States - the Treaty of Republicans before the election - experts • The Insider • RIMA — Russian Independent Media Archive
In Texas, the deadline has expired by the federal authorities to provide access to border guards to dismantle barish wire on the border with Mexico. Texas authorities have already refused to fulfill this requirement, which could become a new turn of the migration crisis. Russian propaganda took advantage of the confrontation and in its channels actively promotes the thesis about the imminent separation of Texas and almost the new civil war of the north and south. But these hopes are false.
The reasons for the conflict
The confrontation between the Texas authorities with the federal government, due to the flows of Mexican migrants, worsened at the beginning of this year. Twitter has been in Twitter for two weeks for the #CIVILWAR theme for two weeks. The conflict directly affects the Russian-Ukrainian confrontation: due to disputes around Texas, Republicans do not approve the package of military assistance to Ukraine and Israel.
The main reason is an increasing number of illegal Mexico migrants. By the end of 2023, 10 thousand people entered the United States daily in the United States. Since precisely Texas borders directly on Mexico, this state takes on most of the migrants that the staff is not satisfied. Earlier, Texas authorities decided to take migrants by buses to other states, and tens of thousands of people were taken out. Then Texas decided to fenge the barbed wire barriers to those places where migrants illegally cross the border. This caused a conflict with the federal authorities, since the state has no right to regulate migration issues, this is a subject of federal jurisdiction.
On January 22, the US Supreme Court made a decision according to which a ban on dismantling the prickly barrier wire is being removed. In other words, the court did not oblige Texas to nothing at all, but untied the hands of the federal authorities to dismantle himself, notes the American lawyer Igor weak. However, many media outlets write about the solution precisely as the penal order to dismantle the wire, which is not true.
On January 26, the deadline for the US Department of Internal Security General Texas Ken Pakston has expired. He was supposed to provide the Federal Border Service for access to Shelby Park next to the Rio Grande border river in the city of IG-Pass, where border guards should remove the thorny wire.
On January 25, the Governor of Texas Greg Ebbott refused to obey this requirement and instructed the Texas National Guard to continue to control the border with Mexico, from where migrants come to the States. The National Guard of the State continues to install new barriers. Ebbott claims that the federal government “violated the agreement between the United States and the States”, allegedly refusing to ensure the observance of existing immigration laws.
“President Biden ignored Texas’s demand to fulfill his constitutional duties,” Ebbott wrote in a statement, calling Bayden a “lawless man” and referring to the fact that James Madison, Alexander Hamilton and other founding founders included measures to defend “sovereign interest” in protecting their borders from “external threats like kartelis,” Millions of illegal immigrants crossing the border. ”
This statement caused a violent conversation about the civil war and even the release of Texas from the United States: 25 Republican governors published statements in support of Ebbott and its resistance to the federal government.
“We are all now border states,” said Gorder Gordon Governor, and other governors, such as landing and Reynolds, they say to send their forces to the National Guard to help Texas. Governor Tennessee Bill Lee said that the government’s actions on the southern border "are jealous of the safety of all Americans."
“Tennessee has always supported Texas, and we will always support it,” he wrote. Conservatives regarded this as a clear hint that Tennessee and Texas united with the confederate states of America during the civil war.
The influence of the immigrant crisis in the United States on the war in Ukraine
The Biden administration seeks to allocate huge funds to help Ukraine, and the House of Representatives controlled by the Republicans refuses to allocate these funds, indicating that first of all they need to be directed to solve an internal problem - strengthening the border with Mexico.
Republicans propose not only to strengthen the border, but also to raise the parameters bar to consider petitions about political asylum and facilitate the process of deportation of illegal immigrants. For several months, many representatives of the Republican Party insisted that they would be able to maintain further assistance to Ukraine only if it is accompanied by the introduction of more stringent measures to ensure border security to overcome this crisis.
Biden accepted many of their conditions and a bicamera agreement, it seemed to be adopted very soon. However, Donald Trump, a candidate for president of the United States in the US president. He opposes the negotiations of the Democrats with the Republicans, as he makes immigration to his central message to the election campaign.
And not only Trump - the topic actively replicates Russian propaganda, publishing materials about how Baiden does not cope with the situation. For example, Izvestia is wondering if the states are on the verge of a civil war, which Dmitry Medvedev “anticipated” in December 2023. This question is repeated three times in the material, but there is no attempt to answer it there.
And Dmitry Rogozin, who was appointed by the Russian authorities, from the occupied Zaporizhzhya region, promised that “the friendly communities of soldiers who have rich combat experience will support the patriots of Texas in their struggle for independence against the global cloak of liberals-the United States.” He also wrote that "Texas has the right to freedom and self -determination." Such a statement in relation to any of the Russian settlements would fall under Article 280.1 of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation on public calls to violate the territorial integrity of the country.
Was it to expect a new civil war in the United States
The theme of the Texas session is a long-standing map that the Republican Party plays, in a conversation with The Insider, the-American political technologist on the rights of anonymity. It is played out either in crisis, or before large elections.
“Of course, there will be no civil war in the United States, no matter how journalists write about it. This is a purely political technological trick of the party to mobilize its electorate. Texas has neither legal, nor financial, nor political instruments for leaving the United States. The judiciary has already been expressed in favor of the federal, not Texas. The Supreme Court said unequivocally, migration issues are not issues of intervention or war. Therefore, they will download this topic up to the election and, perhaps, a little after. ”
American lawyer Igor weak in an interview with The Insider noted that he considers Texas from Texas from the USA unlikely for the following reasons:
There is no legal exit procedure.
The Republicans of Texas themselves do not support the idea and recently chopped down another attempt to bring the issue to the referendum.
“The federalization of the National Guard of the state is also doubtful when by order of the federal authorities the command of the National Guard of the state will be transferred from the governor to the federal authorities. This only several times happened in the history of the United States and has its own restrictions, so it does not seem real yet.
The fact that events will influence the elections is undoubtedly. But which one is a question. At the same time, the situation may change before the elections. The Republicans got the support of Ukraine with the issue of protecting the southern border, and Biden took advantage of this: he went towards the Republicans, and the democrats began discussing the measures that could be taken.
As a result, the Republicans found themselves in a difficult situation: they did not just talk about the situation on the border, but shouted the last couple of years, and positive progress in the issue of regulating migration will take the opportunity to criticize Bayden from the Republicans. Moreover, if a joint plan is created, and this plan will not work, Biden will explain any failures on border protection issues with objective reasons (after all, he did what the Republicans wanted, and this did not work).
Partially, the correctness of such an assumption is confirmed by the fact that, according to media reports, Donald Trump demanded that the Republicans do not do anything to solve the problem in order to continue to criticize Biden. What exactly the congress will do and how it will be incomprehensible yet to this. ”
The fight against migrants brings billions of dollars to Texas to Texas
EBBOTT began active struggle with migrants back in 2021, says the-American political scientist Jan Veselov. Then the Texas governor announced the Operation Lonely Star, during which 20 thousand employees of the National Guard and the Department of Public Security patrolled the border and searched for illegal migrants. The state spent 10 billion dollars on this and reported on almost 500 thousand detentions and the removal of 453 million doses of the Fentanil drug.
The authorities also installed massive buoys and barrage wire barriers on the Rio Grandi river. According to local law enforcement officers, this led to an increase in mortality among migrants drowning in the river. In addition, Texas law enforcement officers are now refusing to pass to the river and employees of federal border services. On January 12, during such a conflict, a woman with two children drowned in the river. WSJ, citing a letter from one of the police patrolling the border, writes that the patrols were ordered to push the nursing mother back into the river, to refuse migrants in the water even in severe heat and prevent a 4-year-old child who tried to move through the skeins of barbed wire.
Journalists of Wall Street Journal found out that the Operation “Lonely Star” is not so successful, and in areas of its conduct, illegal migration of the opposite. Thousands of arrests conducted by the local security forces were not related to the border and were often associated with penetration into private property. The courts considered arrests discriminatory and many of them were canceled. 13% of the detentions were carried out 100 or more miles from the border, and often arrested US citizens. Despite the controversial results, the authorities continue the operation and by 2025 they allocated another 5 billion dollars.
The reason for the ongoing growth of migration is explained by Gil Kerlikovsk, who served as a customs commissar under the former President Barack Obama. According to him, a short period of arrest in an American prison is a small fee for the opportunity to be in the United States: “For the vast majority of these people who survived what they survived at home, serving a short period in the district prison for illegal penetration into the territory is not a large restraining factor.”
