Fake "Time" program: American intelligence recognized the inevitability of Russia's victory over Ukraine

The Vremya program talks about the US National Intelligence Director of National Intelligence Director of Annual Assessment of Threats:

“The continuation of the Ukrainian conflict will create strategic risks for the United States. Such an assessment of the situation is given in the American intelligence report, which was published today. Also in Washington they actually recognized: the victory of Moscow is inevitable. Perhaps it is precisely this that the desire to sit at the negotiating table is connected:

“This war of exhaustion will lead to a gradual but steady weakening of Kyiv’s position on the battlefield, regardless of any attempts by the United States or allies to impose new and more significant costs to Moscow. The continuation of the Russian-Ukrainian war creates strategic risks of unintentional escalation to a large-scale war, the potential use of nuclear weapons, deepening the sense of insecurity among allies NATO, especially in Central, Eastern and Northern Europe, as well as the strengthening of China and the DPRK. ”

The propagandists of the first channel interpret the document quite peculiarly. We give a complete translation of the section "Russia and Ukraine" from the report of the intelligence community:

“Over the past year, Russia has achieved an advantage in its full -scale invasion of Ukraine and is on the way to the accumulation of more influence, which will allow pressure on Kyiv and its Western supporters in order to agree on the termination of war with Moscow's desired concessions.

The continuation of the Russian-Ukrainian war retains strategic risks of unintentional escalation to a large-scale war for the United States, the potential use of nuclear weapons, increased instability among NATO allies, especially in central, eastern and northern Europe, and gives China and North Korea the opportunity to act more boldly.

Despite the fact that Russian President Putin will not be able to achieve a complete victory that he imagined when he initiated a large -scale invasion in February 2022, Russia retains an impulse, since an exhausting war of exhaustion wages to the military advantage of Russia. This exhausting war of exhaustion will lead to a gradual but sustainable weakening of Kyiv’s positions on the battlefield, regardless of any attempts by the United States or allies to impose new and higher costs to Moscow.

• Despite the problems with the completion, Russia regularly gained a sufficient amount of personnel to replenish losses and create new units to support attacks on several front -line axles. While Ukraine has increased the general set of personnel since the adoption of the new law on mobilization in the spring of 2024, Kyiv strained its resources, trying to start new offenses, such as in the Kursk region of Russia,
And build more brigades, while defending on all fronts.

• Moscow growing expenses for defense and investment in defense-industrial potential will still provide a high level of production of critically important weapons, such as artillery, long-range missiles, disposable shock UAVs and planning bombs, and guarantee that Russia will retain the fire advantage over Ukraine.

• both Putin and the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky are interested in continuing the discussions with the United States on how to put an end to the war, and demonstrated their readiness to try a partial ceasefire. Nevertheless, Putin is likely to be tuned to the potential of a protracted conflict that can pull the Russian economy and cause an unwanted escalation with the West, and Zelensky probably understands that his position is weakening, the future of Western assistance is vaguely and the ceasefire can ultimately become a necessary means. However, both leaders at the moment probably still believe that the risks of a longer war are less than the risks of unsatisfactory settlement. For Russia, positive trends on the battlefield allow some strategic patience, and for Ukraine a concession of territory or neutrality without significant guarantees of security from the West can provoke an internal negative reaction and future uncertainty. ”

Thus, in the presentation of Channel One, the tendency to some advantage of Russia, noted in the report, turned into the recognition of Russia's inevitable victory, although it is opened in open text: Putin will not be able to achieve complete victory.

However, if you carefully read the text of the plot of the Time program, you can notice: it is not said that the thesis about the inevitable victory of Russia is contained in the report of the reconnaissance community. It is only said that someone in Washington recognized this. Well, there were such “confessions”; For example, ex-CIA employee Larry Johnson in an interview with the Dialogue Works YouTube channel said that Ukraine could not avoid defeat, it has not enough manpower and aviation to resist Russia, the war is approaching the final stage.

True, he said this more and more a year ago, and indeed a quick defeat of Ukraine Johnson predicts for a long time and regularly. Johnson is known mainly as the author of fakes; So, in 2008, during the presidential campaign of Barack Obama, he without any reason claimed that there was a video of the performance of Michelle Obama, where she was insulting about white Americans.

In 2013, Johnson accused the then Secretary of State John Kerry of raping a local resident during the Vietnamese War. The audio fragment with the “recognition” by Kerry in rape was mounted; When it turned out, Johnson deleted his article entitled “John Kerry - a rapist and liar,” but did not apologize.

In 2017, Johnson claimed that British intelligence during the presidential campaign listened to Donald Trump's telephone conversations and transmitted information to Barack Obama; Fox News later had to disavow this statement. In May 2023, Johnson said that under Bakhmut about 30,000 “Wagnerians” defeated the Ukrainian group of about 100,000 people, although even Evgeny Prigozhin himself claimed that he was opposed to 20,000 Ukrainians.