Victim of disinflation, sanctions and “sinicization” of trade: why the ruble exchange rate unexpectedly strengthened by 25% in 2025 and why this may last for a long time
One of the main surprises of the Russian economy in 2025 was the sharp strengthening of the ruble, which caused many problems for both Russian exporters and the budget. The ruble exchange rate against the dollar strengthened by 25%, falling to 80 rubles, while market participants expected to see it above the benchmark 100 rubles by the end of the year.