OPEC minus: Against the backdrop of rising oil production, OPEC+ has lost its leverage on the market, which threatens to break up the alliance between Russia and Saudi Arabia and to significantly reduce Russian oil revenues
The oil production cuts, which Saudi Arabia and Russia hoped would maintain their incomes amid natural declines in global prices, have not yielded the expected results. Confident production growth in non-OPEC+ countries, primarily in the US, has prevented prices from surging, even in the midst of the war in the Middle East, which has complicated shipments through the Suez Canal. As a result, Saudi Arabia's GDP contracted by 1.1% in 2023.