Mbappe is still stronger than Le Pen

The extreme right in France, contrary to absolutely all forecasts, took only third place in the parliamentary elections

On Sunday evening, on July 7, on the Square of the Republic in Paris, a person who was not familiar with the calendar of the European Football Championship could create that the French team had already won in the final. The crowd of thousands rejoiced (closer to midnight it reached the fireworks), and the taxi drivers were signaling the Uberists as if Mbappe had just scored a decisive goal in the last minute with the filing of Dembele.

In a sense, everything was so: the “Republican Front” “on the flag” pulled out a victory in the parliamentary elections from the extreme right party Marine Le Pen. And this is the merit of not so much politicians of the “front”, but millions of citizens who still responded to the call to joint vote against the ultra-right, and on each individual section of the vote not for their candidate (for example, the right or centrist), but for a completely alien (for example, from the ultraole party of melanchon). Mbappe, by the way, also played an important role ...

The taxi drivers were not in vain signaling: almost all of them are “not real French” (even if they have a France passport, even if in the third generation): this is judged by the standards of the Lepenovsky party, many ordinary candidates whose media were carefully studied before the first second round and shown with their cave racism.

What are the ordinary there - the chairman of the National Association (Fr. Sokr. Rn) Zordan Bardell threatened to "limit access" to "strategic posts" to people with dual citizenship. And he promised that in the event of the victory of the “patriotic camp” on July 7, “his government” would begin “from the first weeks” to act in the direction of restricting the rights of foreigners, introducing “national preferences” and “returning France to the French” - up to the introduction of restrictions on the receipt of medical assistance.

Right on the eve of the election, on Friday in the evening, to scare the nuclear electorate, which often did not see migrants in its quiet provincial corners, Bardella published the fake news of the Journal Du Dimanche newspaper that after the elections the government “under pressure” supposedly was going to “suspend” the action of the migration law (which Macronovites accepted in January specially in order to try to bring down the rising extreme right wave before European elections).

The newspaper, owned by billionaire Vincent Ballore*, quickly removed her incomprehensible from where the “news” was taken from nowhere-immediately after the Prime Minister Attal had to refute it-but Bardella left the link in his social networks.

“A well -lubricated operation! Shortly before the end of the campaign, false information was immediately picked up by RN in the hope that we would not have time to answer, and this will affect the vote, ”Attal wrote on the social network X. appreciated:“ This shows only one thing: your fever. We saw her throughout this week, when you refused to participate in the campaign. We have not seen you in the field. You abandoned all the debate that were offered to you with me this week. Your candidates themselves stated that they did not want to participate in the debate in the local press, (...) hoping to hide their unpreparedness. You panicked because of the raised curtain over your catastrophic program and some of your candidates with their racist, anti-Semitic and homophobic statements. The French deserve the best than these tribious methods. So on Sunday they will decide democratically, in polling stations. ”

***

On Friday, this seemed to be too bravura pre -election statement, although it was known how much there are really many frank freaks among RN candidates who not only abandon the pre -election debate and communicating with the press, but do not even place their photos on pre -election posters. So more profitable: most of the voters admitted that they voted for the “label” of “the only really opposition” (have never been in power!) Of the party; Well, or just “for Bardell” or “for Marin” - even if the list of candidates of their constituency was convicted of capture of the Pensioner’s hostage or recognized as mentally inferior pensioner ...

Nevertheless, all the social services as one week (including right before the “day of silence” on Friday) were given by the Le Pen Pen's confident first place: with a large margin from the left and almost two -time - from the presidential coalition.

"We will not give the country to Voltaire the heirs of Peten"

Therefore, all representatives of the “Republican Front” had reason to escalate the situation to the limit, calling their voters to sites: Prime Minister Attal, ex-president Hollande **, head of the Socialist-Revolutionary Party for the extreme left melanchon ... Having a high anti-rating, President Macron before the second round for a week completely disappeared from radar, so as not to annoy the voters, knowing the features of his active personality, it is possible Imagine how hard it was for him ...

The head of the left -wing political movement of PLACE Publique Rafael Gluxmann was more figurative. He said: "We do not want to translate the reins of government in the country of Hugo and Voltaire to the heirs of Peten."

He warned: “The absolute majority” (i.e. 289 votes in the 577th National Assembly) of the extreme right are “absolutely not excluded”.

Sociologists were also scared - the fact that not all voters will follow the calls of their withdrawn candidates to vote, if we speak simplified, “for any, except for the candidate of the Le Pen party”. Moreover, all the last years-after this technique with the “Republican Front” has been extremely successfully applied by Shirak in the second round of the 2002 presidential elections against Le Papa-the number of voters responsible for the call to put the “republican barrier to the extreme right”, invariably and significantly falls significantly.

Therefore, before the first, and (especially) before the second round, the mechanism turned on, something (remotely!) Reminded me of the campaign "vote, or you will lose."

To terminate the consciousness of voters, the "stars" joined, including several Les Bleus players. Captain Kilian Mbappe gave a press conference on the eve of the most important quarter-finals with the Portuguese. He said: “We cannot give the country to the hands of these people,” urged “all” to take part in the elections and vote for the “right side”. To make it clearer for which one, he joked when he was looking for the eyes of a journalist who wanted to ask another question. The journalist said that he was sitting "extreme on the left", Mbappe replied: "Fortunately, not on the other hand."

Le Pen then replied that the French, especially those who “earn 1300-1400 euros per month”, “fed up with moral lessons”, “moralizing” and “voting instructions” that “millions or even billionaires living abroad” give them. Marin, of course, did not mention that, by the will of fate, she lived in the family of a “happy heir” of a millionth state and never left this class of the elect. She is in the minds of her most devoted voter *** - The one who fights with the system for the truth, for the people. And of course, against foreign peoples.

***

This policy of excluding the nationality and color of the skin, of course, did not find any response in intellectual circles.

Open letters call to vote against the extreme right were written by the editorial office , a collective of thousands of historians , human rights activists , associations , defenders of animal rights , the Olympic Committee of France ...

The theater festival in Avignon held "Nights of Mobilization" "for cultural diversity, freedom of speech and creativity, against racism and fascism."

Officials promised the shares of civil disobedience in the event of the creation of the extreme right government. A hundred lawyers (mainly from Paris) on the website of the left magazine Marianne published an article entitled “Lawyers, we are forming a law brigade against the national association”.

And after in response to this, one ultra-right website urged to “eliminate” such lawyers (“sending to the pit or to the stadium”), lawyers went out to protest in other cities- for example, in Lyon ...

"Sometimes people went to the hospital"

Another feature ... Minister of Internal Affairs Gerald Darmanen on Friday on the body spoke about the “high level of violence” during this election campaign: in three weeks, “51 cases of aggression” were registered in relation to candidates, their deputies or activists.

He added that the police and the gendarmes “took about 30 detentions” after these “sometimes extremely serious attacks, as a result of which people went to the hospital” (in the Paris suburb, for example, they attacked the press secretary of the government of Teveno, two people from her team were hospitalized).

The minister noted: “victims of aggression” were representatives of the “all parties” of the political spectrum, including “candidates from the“ National Association ”.

Fearing the violent reaction of the “parties” to the announcement of the voting results, the head of the Ministry of Internal Affairs announced “increased mobilization” for Sunday evening, July 7: 30,000 police officers and gendarmes were called upon the order throughout the country, 5000 of them in Paris.

***

Many shops in individual streets in the capital and other large cities prudently closed windows from chipboard shields, but as a result, a miracle happened - RN did not receive the majority, and the stores managed to save.

But the gathered on the Republic Square by eight in the evening were decisively configured - they expected completely different, much more sad results.

Individual citizens, probably managing to rebuild in a positive way, nevertheless attacked the police several times, for which the whole area was forced to swallow tear gas.

But these were only small incidents who did not knock out of the balance of the French, many of whom begin to strike back in infancy, on the shoulders of their parents.

After the next run-in the police and from it on the square, the atmosphere of the big fest was again restored-with singing, dancing, a slight drinking drink and eating barbecue and sausages (wherever you get from, but still, as if mocking the extreme right, people in Maggoginsk robes with huge grill-navigations arose on the square).

Antifa hummed: c'est pas les émigrés, c'est pas les sans-parapiers, c'est les fachos, qu'il faut virer! (“These are not immigrants and not people without papers, but you need to drive out fascists!”)

Of course, no one expected that this time he would carry it again.

Even the Oblast Ultra Part Fourth Luke Melanshon did not foresee anything and was forced to edit his “rebellious France” in the cafe “Stalingrad Rotonda”, to edit his appeal to voters literally in a matter of minutes.

What will happen next. The first coalition since 1945?

At 20:05, the odious melanchon, which is not possible even by many participants in the “new Popular Front” (Fr. Socr. NFP), has already taken upon himself the severity of the victory of the left coalition. He said: Macron must submit to the will of the people and appoint a person from NFP. Or "let him leave" himself!

Expressiveness and peremptory, as is characteristic of Melanchon, were excessive. Because, firstly, of course, under no circumstances, the president should not and is not going to leave. Secondly, the advantage of the left cannot be called overwhelming.

The “New Popular Front” receives in the 577-seater National Assembly 182 chairs, the centrist coalition of President Macron “Together for the Republic” –168, the extreme right party Le Pen-143 ...

The coalition is clearly suggested between the left and the centrists, but not with the extremely left prime minister, as J.-L. Melanshon. As the moderate left Rafael Gluxmann said, "neither Jupiter nor Robespierre." He understood President Macron by Jupiter (even Premier Attal said that now the “Power Center is moving to parliament”), near Robespierre - Melanchon.

Macron himself, before the second round, said (not publicly, but “transferred the sources” of AFP) that he “excludes” the opportunity to rule with the Melanchonian party. There is some problem is that she nevertheless received the most places from all parties in the New Popular Front.

In general, negotiations on the creation of the coalition government - the first since 1945, when de Gaulle “united” with the Communists - promise to be difficult **** . Even the left inside the coalition will not be easy to agree.

The head of the Socialist Party Olivier Fore nevertheless promised on Monday that NFP would present his candidacy for the post of prime minister this week.

At the same time, the Sunday performance of the Attal Prime Minister left the feeling that President Macron did not want to rush with the appointment of a new office. Attal, of course, said that as the head of the coalition, who did not won the election (although she showed the results much higher than forecasts), on Monday, will submit a request for a resignation on Monday, but at the same time emphasized: he was ready to fulfill his duties "as long as it requires a debt."

He explained: "Our country is experiencing an unprecedented political situation and is preparing to accept the world in a few weeks." That is, he hinted that he could remain in the role of acting The premiere for the time of the Olympic and Paralympic Games (July - early September).

(When the material was added, it became known that Macron “did not accept” the resignation of the Prime Minister “at the moment” in order to “ensure stability in the country”).

"Macronism has not died"

However, if he left, you still have to leave. And take a place in the parliament ***** - after all, Attal, like two dozen Macron ministers, won the elections in his constituency. Although it seemed that nothing foreshadowed: after the first round of the four hundreds of Macron's candidates, only two “early” victories were won, while in the Le Pen party there were about 40 such winners.

But after the left and macronists united against the extreme right, even the ex-prime minister Elizabeth Born, the face of the most unpopular reform of recent years , pension, went into the parliament.

Here it is, the power of the "Republican Front", which, as it turned out, was to bury early (this was done before the second round by numerous experts, including the embarrassed sociologists).

***

The official representative of the Prisk of Tveno exclaimed after the announcement of the first results: "The central block did not die, and macronism too!"

The Elysee Palace said on Monday that the head of state, who will fly to Washington on the NATO summit tomorrow, will wait for the “structuring” of the new national group “to make the necessary decisions”.

And "Lepenism"?

Marine Le Pen, who seriously spoke about the options for creating a government led by Bardella, assured that she was not too saddened by the final results: “I have too much experience to be a disappointed result that doubles the number of our deputies” ( there were 89, it became 143. - Ed. ). She emphasized that RN became the “first party in the number of deputies” ( this is true, the emerging extreme right batch of forces performed in party coalitions. - Ed. ).

Noting that “the tide is intensified”, Le Pen promised the future victory: “This time [the wave] did not rise high enough, but it continues to rise, and, therefore, our victory is only postponed.”

She, unfortunately, is right. The danger of the arrival of the extreme right to power did not go away at all after these happily saved elections.

And each unpopular decision of the new government will add Le Pen points and its team - “not allowed” to power “opposition force No. 1”. Which has the main chance on the horizon - the presidential election of 2027.

The Chairman of the party Bardell promised that “everything will begin tonight”, that RN will become the “only alternative to the Unified Party” ( that is, all parties of the “Republican Front”. - Ed. ) And “Electoral mechanisms organized from the Champs Elysees”. According to Bardella, this “shameful union” deprived the French of “restoration policy”. But “today it all begins, the old world collapsed, nothing will stop the people who began to hope again,” he assured.

***

As for the “restoration policy”, I must say that after the threat of Bardella’s appointment to the post of prime minister has passed, the markets were somewhat “exhaled”.

Because RN's arrival to power really could plunge the country in a crisis right away - both in the economy ******, and in the international arena (you can start with inevitable problems with the European Union and end with Ukraine), and in public life - about the "Lepenovsky" painting of people of different nationalities has already been said ...

***

In the meantime, we finish the joke. I will quote the headline of the popular satirical publication Le Gorafi : Jordan Bardella Furieux de Voir le Score du Rn écrit en chiffres arabes (“Jordan Bardella in rage is written by the Arabic numbers”).

Footnotes

* Mediahimeria Bollore promotes the extreme right; He, according to Le Monde , participated in the "operation" to transition of the chairman of the Right Party "Republicans" to the camp of Lepenovtsy. Задача-максимум «операции», начатой сразу после европейских выборов , заключалась в том, что по призыву Сьотти «республиканцы» должны были присоединиться к крайне правому «Национальному объединению».

Но «операция» большей частью не достигла цели: политбюро правых проголосовало за исключение Сьотти (которое тот оспаривает в суде) и поменяло замки на двери партийной штаб-квартиры. А самому Сьотти пришлось довольствоваться созданием собственной группы «друзья Сьотти» и проведением в парламент 17 депутатов, включая себя, которые де-факто входят в состав лепеновской фракции. Не сбылась и мечта о должности министра внутренних дел в «правительстве Барделлы».

** По итогам второго тура экс-президент стал депутатом — всего второй такой случай в истории «деголлевской» Пятой республики. И сразу сказал, что «не планирует» становиться премьером .

*** Потому что в последние годы к людям, разделяющим «взгляды» крайне правых, добавилось много тех, кто голосует за партию Ле Пен просто из чувства протеста против традиционной, достаточно закрытой, элитарной системы. Президент Макрон, обещавший стать ее реформатором, в итоге в глазах большинства остался ее «охранителем».

**** Если договориться не удастся, может быть использован вариант с назначением «технического» кабинета министров, в котором высокопоставленные беспартийные чиновники будут поддерживать текущую деятельность страны. По закону президент может провести новые парламентские выборы лишь через год, то есть не ранее июня 2025 года.

***** Источники французских СМИ говорят, что «выросшему политически» в ходе этих выборов 35-летнему Атталю могут предложить место председателя Нацсобрания, на которое, впрочем, претендуют и другие «тяжеловесы», включая главу МВД Дарманена.

****** Не только потому, что многие специалисты назвали программу RN «катастрофической», но и потому, что рынки боятся прихода крайне правых к власти во Франции. Перед вторым туром источники в самой партии сообщали: не имея своего достойного «кадра» на пост министра экономики, Ле Пен и Барделла рассматривают вариант приглашения «эксперта со стороны».