The recovery growth of the Russian economy continues. In June, the business climate indicator, which the Central Bank calculates based on a large-scale survey of enterprises, rose again after a slight decline in May. But the most surprising thing is the increase by more than 3 points at once, from 3.1 to 6.4, an indicator of current business conditions. This is the maximum value of the indicator since August 2008. The indicator components are also at ten to fifteen year highs.

Analysing the history of authoritarian regimes reveals that the longer an autocrat remains in power, the less likely they are to be overthrown from within the regime or leave their post before their death. However, even if an autocrat dies in office or loses power for other reasons, they are usually succeeded by another autocrat, and the regime retains its fundamental characteristics.

The recovery of the Russian economy continues. In June, the business climate index, calculated by the Central Bank based on a large-scale survey of businesses, rose again after a slight decline in May. But the most surprising thing is the growth of the current business conditions index of more than 3 points, from 3.1 to 6.4. This is the highest value of the index since August 2008. The components of the index are also at ten to fifteen-year highs.

An analysis of the history of authoritarian regimes shows that the longer an autocrat remains in power, the less likely it is that he will be overthrown from within the regime and even leave office before his death. But even if an autocrat dies on the job or loses power for other reasons, as a rule, he is replaced by another autocrat, and the regime itself retains its basic features.