Putin's invasion of Ukraine, as well as the escalation in the Middle East after the Hamas attack on Israel, provoked a new nuclear arms race, the main feature of which is that countries with relatively small nuclear arsenals are most active in it.

Putin's invasion of Ukraine and the escalation in the Middle East following Hamas's attack on Israel have triggered a new nuclear arms race. This race is particularly characterised by the heightened activity of countries with relatively small nuclear arsenals. The world is closer to the possibility of uncontrolled nuclear conflict than during the Cold War, especially considering the frequent threats of using nuclear weapons in conventional conflicts.

The cohesion effect ('rally around the flag') in Ukrainian society continues to weaken, and Zelensky's rating continues to decline, though at a much more moderate pace. The weakening of Zelensky's 'extraordinary' legitimacy is, however, not a sign of crisis, but a return to normality. In the context of a protracted war, the demand for accountability in Ukraine has increased, and the government will have to reckon with it.

The effect of rallying (“rally around the flag”) in Ukrainian society continues to weaken, and Zelensky’s rating is to decline. However, at a much more moderate pace. The weakening of the “extreme” legitimacy of Zelensky is, however, not a sign of the crisis, but a return to normal. In the conditions of a protracted war, the demand for accounting for the authorities in Ukraine increased, and the government will have to reckon with this.