The Second Theatre of War: How and why the spring campaign against Russian infrastructure is shifting the balance of power in the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Over the past three months alone, Ukraine has carried out 55 successful strikes against Russian oil infrastructure and a further 18 against other industrial facilities. While the intensity of this campaign has not exceeded the levels seen in the final months of last year, improvements in drone strike capability and the cascading nature of the attacks have significantly increased the damage inflicted. Ukraine’s aerial campaign in 2026 appears to represent another turning point in the war.